This week, we’ve got a Fight Pass card in Singapore. Since it’s in Singapore, we have to wake up at 4:30am ET to watch it live. I have set the alarm and that I will be up prepared to sweat these early fights. DraftKings doesn’t have many big tournaments this week so that I will personally be playing more money games and less GPPs. I’ll still have 3 GPP lineups but a lot of my investment that this week will probably be in cash games. But, there is still money to be won so here are a few plays I like and my fade of this week:
Money Game play of this week — Stack, Leon Edwards ($8,600) AND Donald Cerrone ($7,600)
Donald”Cowboy” Cerrone is not in a dull fight. Whether he wins or loses, his fights usually score high as a whole along with the winner nearly always pays off their cost in DraftKings. I typically search for 100 total points should I pile up a fight in money and I believe with this being a probable 5-rounds, it must score well more than that. Should Edwards win this fight, it’s probably an early KO, and if this happens he’ll score very large. If Cerrone wins, he could lock up a entry or a knockout which will easily 10x his cost of $7.6k. However, in any event, you have the winner at your lineup and the guaranteed 30-90 win bonus points if you do pile. I believe this battle will be fun so long as it continues and there ought to be a good amount of points added up before these two get completed. When it does go 5 rounds, these two should nevertheless get over 100 total points with the pace Cowboy brings to the table.
GPP drama of this week — Li Jingliang ($9,200)
Li Jingliang constantly puts on a show when he measures in the Octagon. He’s a fast pace fighter who scores very well on DraftKings if he wins. I think he should be the better fighter wherever this struggle ends up against Abe. In addition, I believe he could complete this fight on the feet or the floor and if this happens he’d very likely pay off his high price tag of $9.2k. He is the 3rd most expensive fighter on the card and that I think he’s the highest ceiling. That is what we want in GPPs is a high ceiling, so that is the reason why Jingliang is my GPP play of the week.
Underdog drama of the week — Song Yadong ($7,900)
Song Yadong is my favorite DraftKings”underdog” this week. His betting line has changed to him being a small favorite at -120 but he’s $400 cheaper than his competitor. I think saving that $400 is a good move in cash or GPP games therefore that I enjoy Yadong in all formats. I believe Yadong will seem to maintain this battle on the feet and hunt for this KO win. If he can get the win, I believe he must readily pay off that cost and get at least 10x.
Fade of this week — Viviane Pereira ($8,800)
My main difficulty with Pereira is that she’s too expensive. At $8.8k, I want at least 88 points out of her and I believe she needs get a finish to perform that. I really don’t see that happening and does Vegas using a +617 ITD line. She does not strike at a high enough pace or territory enough takedowns to evaluate 88 points in my opinion. In her 2 UFC wins she held her opponent against the fence to get a good section of the struggle and no issues have been scored when that happens. If she does this again , there is no way she even comes near 88 points in spite of a win. I have a full fade on Pereira this week and I will compensate for different favorites instead.
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