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Matt Mitrione FREE Breakdown:
Sergei Kharitonov comes into this one riding high with the bookies after beating Roy Nelson, but in age 38 his abilities are unlikely to be advancing. Mitrione gets the superior technique, power and durability standing that ought to see him using a sensible advantage. Kharitonov will be seeking to acquire down the fight but it will be hard given Mitrione’s exceptional athleticism. Anticipate a tentative start from both men before Mitrione starts accumulating strikes to get a TKO stoppage.
Bet = Mitrione at 1.95 (-105) chances. Risk 3 Units to acquire 2.85 Units.Francis Ngannou Breakdown:
Cain is coming to this struggle after a significant injury layoff. In fact he’s had only 1 success since Ngannou entered the UFC, having fought 9 times himself. With so many question marks on his state the fight seems to be lined too wide. Ngannou obviously has huge stopping power and will be quite dangerous on the feet early. If Cain has lost a step or comes in looking slow he is in trouble. Historically his style brings a whole lot of pressure to opponents but he is receptive to shooting shots himself, especially when gassed. Both men have paths to victory here, Ngannou is able to keep the fight standing and find an early KO. Cain will want to avoid the early storm and seem to wear the bigger man out using takedowns and cage strain. We like the underdog in what looks like a 50/50 battle going in. On the other hand, the winner of the struggle is likely to seem dominant.
Bet = Ngannou in 2.65 (+165) odds. Risk 2 Units to win 3.3 Units.
James Vick Breakdown:
Vick’s stock is at an all-time low after his recent KO but his conduct to the top was impressive. In this matchup he’ll be the superior technical boxer with the duration and speed benefit. Felder has a propensity to mirror his competitor but he will have to turn this one into a brawl to find success. It is possible he connects with a kill shot, but all other avenues to victory are in Vick’s favour. Felder takes a close range fight to utilise his best weapons but Vick has shown he can stick into a gameplan and keep it at range. We enjoy the lineup on Vick to cruise to success with a medical choice.
Bet = Vick at 1.91 (-110) chances. Risk 3 Units to win 2.73 Units.
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